Monday, February 19, 2007

Oscar 2006 Predictions...Best Supporting Actor

OR: Will Norbit himself win an Oscar?

Moving along on the predictions for the upcoming Oscars telecast, we now look at the Best Supporting Actor category, and once again there are some bizarre nominations to look at here.

And while I usually don't bemoan the Academy not nominating someone, come on you guys...Jack Nicholson could have easily had a fourth Oscar for his overly violent, racist mobster in The Departed. For shame!

The could-have-been-somebodies:

Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine
Jackie Earle Haley, Little Children
Djimon Hounsou, Blood Diamond
Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
Mark Wahlberg, The Departed

I think the majority of us were expecting Mr. Murphy to score a nom for his James Brown-lite character in Dreamgirls, and I think he does a good job in the flick. In fact, he and Jennifer Hudson are the best things in the film, and there is a very solid chance that the two of them could be pictured together backstage holding little naked gold statues. I guess voters will have to look away from the fact Murphy just appeared in the $33 million, opening-weekend grossing Norbit which has been getting some of the worst reviews of Murphy's career.

Still, there's not much competition. Jackie Earle Haley did some great work in Little Children and will no doubt make a comeback with just the nomination in tow. Djimon Hounsou is a favorite with the academy (he was nominated in 2002 for In America) yet he's in a film where he co-stars with a great actor also nominated this year for the wrong film. The right film is The Departed, yet will voters go for Wahlberg's foul-mouthed Boston trooper? Many voters will be wondering where Jack is on the ballots.

That leaves Alan Arkin, who gives a real memorable performance in Sunshine and has most of his great work alongside fellow nom Abigail Breslin which voters will remember. It is also his third nomination (the other two were over 30 years ago!) poses the only real challenger to knock Murphy out of the game. Again, Sunshine gives me the impression that is only going to walk away with one Oscar, so this could be the upset. And if he does, Norbit was the undoing after all.

Who Will Win: Eddie Murphy
Who Should Win: Jack Nicholson....but I'll take Alan Arkin


Jason
efilmcritic.com

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